Investigating the Added Value of Beck’s Depression Inventory in Atherosclerosis Prediction: Lessons from Paracelsus 10,000

Abstract

Background: Depression is the most common mental illness worldwide and generates an enormous health and economic burden. Furthermore, it is known to be associated with an elevated risk of arteriosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD), particularly stroke. However, it is not a factor reflected in many ASCVD risk models, including SCORE2. Thus, we analysed the relationship between depression, ASCVD and SCORE2 in our cohort. Methods: We analysed 9350 subjects from the Paracelsus 10,000 cohort, who underwent both a carotid artery ultrasound and completed a Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) screening. Patients were categorised binomially based on the BDI score. Atherosclerotic carotid plaque or absence was dichotomised for logistic regression modelling. Odds ratios and adjusted relative risks were calculated using Stata. Results: Subjects with an elevated BDI (≥14) had higher odds for carotid plaques compared to subjects with normal BDI, especially after adjusting for classical risk factors included in SCORE2 (1.21; 95%CI 1.03–1.43, p = 0.023). The adjusted relative risk for plaques was also increased (1.09; 95%CI 1.01–1.18, p = 0.021). Subgroup analysis showed an increased odds of plaques with increases in depressive symptoms, particularly in women and patients ≤55 yrs. Conclusions: In our cohort, the BDI score is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis beyond classical risk factors. Thus, depression might be an independent risk factor which may improve risk stratification if considered in ASCVD risk prediction models, such as SCORE2. Furthermore, reminding clinicians to take mental health into consideration to identify individuals at increased atherosclerosis risk may provide added opportunities to address measures which can reduce the risk of ASCVD.