Detecting Extratropical Cyclones of the Northern Hemisphere with Single Shot Detector

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a deep learning-based model to detect extratropical cyclones (ETCs) of the northern hemisphere, while developing a novel workflow of processing images and generating labels for ETCs. We first labeled the cyclone center by adapting an approach from Bonfanti et al. in 2017 and set up criteria of labeling ETCs of three categories: developing, mature, and declining stages. We then gave a framework of labeling and preprocessing the images in our dataset. Once the images and labels were ready to serve as inputs, an object detection model was built with Single Shot Detector (SSD) and adjusted to fit the format of the dataset. We trained and evaluated our model with our labeled dataset on two settings (binary and multiclass classifications), while keeping a record of the results. We found that the model achieves relatively high performance with detecting ETCs of mature stage (mean Average Precision is 86.64%), and an acceptable result for detecting ETCs of all three categories (mean Average Precision 79.34%). The single-shot detector model can succeed in detecting ETCs of different stages, and it has demonstrated great potential in the future applications of ETC detection in other relevant settings.