Author:
Li Chenghao,Liu Mingyang,Guo Yi,Ma Hanqing,Wang Hua,Yuan Xiaoling
Abstract
With the development of large-scale renewable energy consumption and multi-infeed high voltage direct current (HVDC) systems, the demand of a system for the synchronous condensers with a strong dynamic reactive power support capacity and a strong short-time overload capacity is increasing. Meanwhile, with the reuse of a large number of retired thermal units, the most practical and economic way is to transform thermal units into synchronous condensers. The cost difference in the life-cycle of the synchronous condenser transformed from a thermal unit (SCTTU) and the newly established synchronous condenser (NESC) is a key factor that affects the decision-making and construction of the transformation from thermal unit to synchronous condenser. However, the life-cycle cost (LCC) of the synchronous condenser transformed from a thermal unit and the newly established synchronous condenser contains many uncertain factors, which affect the accuracy of the LCC estimation value. In order to quantify the impact of the blind information on the cost of the synchronous condenser station, blind number theory is introduced to establish the blind number model of the LCC of the synchronous condenser transformed from a thermal unit and the newly established synchronous condenser. Additionally, the LCC of the NESC and SCTTU with a different life-cycle under the capacity of 2 × 300 MVar are estimated. The results show that the cost of the SCTTU with a long service life of more than 15 years is significantly lower than that of the NESC and, thus, the SCTTU has better economic performance. The economic performance of the SCTTU with a life-cycle of less than 15 years is not better than that of the NESC. Compared with the traditional calculation method of a single cost value, the blind number model can obtain the possible distribution interval of LCC and the reliability of the corresponding interval, which makes the estimation results more valuable for practical engineering reference.
Funder
the Science and Technology Project of SGCC in 2022
Subject
Process Chemistry and Technology,Chemical Engineering (miscellaneous),Bioengineering
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