Evaluation of Whole Genome Sequencing-Based Predictions of Antimicrobial Resistance to TB First Line Agents: A Lesson from 5 Years of Data

Abstract

Phenotypic susceptibility testing of the Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) isolate requires culture growth, which can delay rapid detection of resistant cases. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) and data analysis pipelines can assist in predicting resistance to antimicrobials used in the treatment of tuberculosis (TB). This study compared phenotypic susceptibility testing results and WGS-based predictions of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) to four first-line antimicrobials—isoniazid, rifampin, ethambutol, and pyrazinamide—for MTBC isolates tested between the years 2018–2022. For this 5-year retrospective analysis, the WGS sensitivity for predicting resistance for isoniazid, rifampin, ethambutol, and pyrazinamide using Mykrobe was 86.7%, 100.0%, 100.0%, and 47.8%, respectively, and the specificity was 99.4%, 99.5%, 98.7%, and 99.9%, respectively. The predictive values improved slightly using Mykrobe corrections applied using TB Profiler, i.e., the WGS sensitivity for isoniazid, rifampin, ethambutol, and pyrazinamide was 92.31%, 100%, 100%, and 57.78%, respectively, and the specificity was 99.63%. 99.45%, 98.93%, and 99.93%, respectively. The utilization of WGS-based testing addresses concerns regarding test turnaround time and enables analysis for MTBC member identification, antimicrobial resistance prediction, detection of mixed cultures, and strain genotyping, all through a single laboratory test. WGS enables rapid resistance detection compared to traditional phenotypic susceptibility testing methods using the WHO TB mutation catalog, providing an insight into lesser-known mutations, which should be added to prediction databases as high-confidence mutations are recognized. The WGS-based methods can support TB elimination efforts in Canada and globally by ensuring the early start of appropriate treatment, rapidly limiting the spread of TB outbreaks.