A Novel Quantitative Computer-Assisted Score Can Improve Repeatability in the Estimate of Vascular Calcifications at the Abdominal Aorta

Abstract

In CKD and in the elderly, Vascular Calcifications (VC) are associated to cardiovascular events and bone fractures. VC scores at the abdominal aorta (AA) from lateral spine radiographs are widely applied (the 0–24 semiquantitative discrete visual score (SV) being the most used). We hypothesised that a novel continuum score based on quantitative computer-assisted tracking of calcifications (QC score) can improve the precision of the SV score. This study tested the repeatability and reproducibility of QC score and SV score. In forty-four patients with VC from an earlier study, five experts from four specialties evaluated the data twice using a dedicated software. Test–retest was performed on eight subjects. QC results were reported in a 0–24 scale to readily compare with SV. The QC score showed higher intra-operator repeatability: the 95% CI of Bland–Altman differences was almost halved in QC; intra-operator R2 improved from 0.67 for SV to 0.79 for QC. Inter-observer repeatability was higher for QC score in the first (Intraclass Correlation Coefficient 0.78 vs. 0.64), but not in the second evaluation (0.84 vs. 0.82), indicating a possible heavier learning artefact for SV. The Minimum Detectable Difference (MDD) was smaller for QC (2.98 vs. 4 for SV, in the 0–24 range). Both scores were insensitive to test–retest procedure. Notably, QC and SV scores were discordant: SV showed generally higher values, and an increasing trend of differences with VC severity. In summary, the new QC score improved the precision of lateral spine radiograph scores in estimating VC. We reported for the first time an estimate of MDD in VC assessment that was 25% lower for the new QC score with respect to the usual SV score. An ongoing study will determine whether this lower MDD may reduce follow-up times to check for VC progression.