A Systematic Literature Review on Transit-Based Evacuation Planning in Emergency Logistics Management: Optimisation and Modelling Approaches

Abstract

Increasing disasters in recent years have necessitated the development of emergency logistics plans. Evacuation planning plays an important role in emergency logistics management, particularly when it comes to addressing transit-dependent populations that are often neglected in previous studies. This systematic literature review explores the current state of transit-based evacuation planning and examines the current gaps. We focused on transit-based evacuation planning problems that used optimisation and modelling approaches. This review conducts an extensive analysis of relevant studies to provide a comprehensive overview, identify research gaps, and outline future directions in the evacuation planning body of knowledge. Using an integrated systematic review methodology, a thorough search of the Scopus and Web of Science databases was conducted, resulting in a total of 538 articles. These articles were screened and evaluated based on predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria, ultimately yielding 82 studies for final analysis. The findings highlight the growing importance of optimisation and modelling approaches within transit-based evacuation planning. Studies emphasize the integration of public transportation networks into evacuation strategies to enhance operational efficiency, optimize resource allocation, and ensure evacuee safety. Transit-based evacuation planning is vital for both those without personal vehicles, making evacuation more equitable, and vehicle owners, particularly in earthquakes where vehicles might be inaccessible or trapped, demonstrating its wide usefulness in all emergency scenarios. Various optimisation and modelling approaches have been employed in transit-based evacuation planning studies to simulate and analyse the flow of evacuees and vehicles during emergencies. Transit-based evacuation planning exhibits unique characteristics within disaster management, including the consideration of spatial and temporal dynamics of transit systems, integration of social and demographic factors, and involvement of multiple stakeholders. Spatial and temporal dynamics encompass transportation schedules, capacities, and routes, while social and demographic factors involve variables such as income, age, and mobility status. Stakeholder engagement facilitates collaborative decision-making and effective plan development. However, transit-based evacuation planning faces challenges that require further research and development. Data availability and accuracy, model validation, stakeholder coordination, and the integration of uncertainty and dynamic factors pose significant hurdles. Addressing these challenges necessitates advances in data collection, robust modelling frameworks, and improved communication and coordination mechanisms among stakeholders. Addressing these gaps requires interdisciplinary collaborations and advances in data analytics and modelling techniques.