Unravelling the Distinct Effects of Systolic and Diastolic Blood Pressure Using Mendelian Randomisation

Abstract

A true discrepancy between the effect of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) on cardiovascular (CV) outcomes remains unclear. This study performed two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) using genetic instruments that exclusively predict SBP, DBP or both to dissect the independent effect of SBP and DBP on a range of CV outcomes. Genetic predisposition to higher SBP and DBP was associated with increased risk of coronary artery disease (CAD), myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Genetically proxied SBP exclusively was associated with CAD (OR 1.18, 95% CI: 1.03–1.36, per 10 mmHg), stroke (1.44[1.28–1.62]), ischemic stroke (1.49[1.30–1.69]), HF (1.41[1.20–1.65]), AF (1.28[1.15–1.43]), and T2DM (1.2[1.13–1.46]). Genetically proxied DBP exclusively was associated with stroke (1.21[1.06–1.37], per 5 mmHg), ischemic stroke (1.24[1.09–1.41]), stroke small-vessel (1.35[1.10–1.65]) and CAD (1.19[1.00–1.41]). Multivariable MR using exclusive SBP and DBP instruments showed the predominant effect of SBP on CAD (1.23[1.05–1.44], per 10 mmHg), stroke (1.39[1.20–1.60]), ischemic stroke (1.44[1.25–1.67]), HF (1.42[1.18–1.71]), AF (1.26[1.10–1.43]) and T2DM (1.31[1.14–1.52]). The discrepancy between effects of SBP and DBP on outcomes warrants further studies on underpinning mechanisms which may be amenable to therapeutic targeting.