Lactate as a Predictor of 30-Day Mortality in Cardiogenic Shock

Abstract

Background/Objectives: This study sought to evaluate the efficacy of various lactate measurements within the first 24 h post-intensive care unit (ICU) admission for predicting 30-day mortality in cardiogenic shock patients. It compared initial lactate levels, 24 h levels, peak levels, and 24 h clearance, alongside the Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 (SAPS3) score, to enhance early treatment decision-making. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 64 patients assessed the prognostic performance of lactate levels and SAPS3 scores using logistic regression and AUROC calculations. Results: Of the baseline parameters, only the SAPS3 score predicted survival independently. The lactate level after 24 h (LL) was the most accurate predictor of mortality, outperforming initial levels, peak levels, and 24 h-clearance, and showing a significant AUROC. LL greater than 3.1 mmol/L accurately predicted mortality with high specificity and moderate sensitivity. Conclusions: Among lactate measurements for predicting 30-day mortality in cardiogenic shock, the 24 h lactate level was the most effective one, suggesting its superiority for early prognostication over initial or peak levels and lactate clearance.