Differentiating Inhibitors of Closely Related Protein Kinases with Single- or Multi-Target Activity via Explainable Machine Learning and Feature Analysis

Abstract

Protein kinases are major drug targets. Most kinase inhibitors are directed against the adenosine triphosphate (ATP) cofactor binding site, which is largely conserved across the human kinome. Hence, such kinase inhibitors are often thought to be promiscuous. However, experimental evidence and activity data for publicly available kinase inhibitors indicate that this is not generally the case. We have investigated whether inhibitors of closely related human kinases with single- or multi-kinase activity can be differentiated on the basis of chemical structure. Therefore, a test system consisting of two distinct kinase triplets has been devised for which inhibitors with reported triple-kinase activities and corresponding single-kinase activities were assembled. Machine learning models derived on the basis of chemical structure distinguished between these multi- and single-kinase inhibitors with high accuracy. A model-independent explanatory approach was applied to identify structural features determining accurate predictions. For both kinase triplets, the analysis revealed decisive features contained in multi-kinase inhibitors. These features were found to be absent in corresponding single-kinase inhibitors, thus providing a rationale for successful machine learning. Mapping of features determining accurate predictions revealed that they formed coherent and chemically meaningful substructures that were characteristic of multi-kinase inhibitors compared with single-kinase inhibitors.