Overall Survival and Prognostic Factors among Older Patients with Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer: A Retrospective Analysis Using a Hospital Database

Abstract

Pre-therapeutic factors associated with overall survival (OS) among older patients ≥70 years with metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPC) are not known. This was a retrospective single-centre cohort study in Paris including 159 consecutive older patients with mPC between 2000 and 2018. Alongside geriatric parameters, specific comorbidities, cancer-related data and chemotherapy regimens were retrieved. Cox multivariate models were run to assess predictors for OS. The median age was 80 years, 52% were women, 21.5% had diabetes, and 48% had pancreatic head cancer and 72% liver metastases. 62% of the patients (n = 99) received chemotherapy, among which the gemcitabine + nab-paclitaxel (GnP) regimen was the most frequent (72%). Median OS [95%CI] was 7.40 [5.60–10.0] and 1.40 [0.90–2.20] months respectively for patients with and without chemotherapy. The GnP regimen (aHR [95%CI] = 0.47 [0.25–0.89], p = 0.02) and diabetes (aHR = 0.44 [0.24–0.77], p = 0.004) (or anti-diabetic therapy) were multivariate protective factors for death, while ECOG-PS, liver metastases, and the neutrophil cell count were multivariate risk factors for death. In the chemotherapy group, ECOG-PS, number of metastatic sites and the GnP remained significantly associated with OS. Our study confirms the feasibility and efficacy of chemotherapy and the protective effects of diabetes among older patients with mPC.