Pandemic‐induced uncertainty and tourism demand: Evidence on the moderator effect of democratic institutions

Author:

Kizilkaya Oktay1ORCID,Kocak Emrah23ORCID,Ulug Eyup Emre4ORCID,Yucel Ali G.25ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics Kirsehir Ahi Evran University Kirsehir Turkey

2. Department of Economics Erciyes University Kayseri Turkey

3. Muma College of Business University of South Florida Tampa Florida USA

4. Department of Economics Nuh Naci Yazgan University Kayseri Turkey

5. Department of Economics, Finance and Legal Studies The University of Alabama Tuscaloosa Alabama USA

Abstract

AbstractThis paper explores the mitigating effect of democratic institutions in the nexus of tourism and pandemic‐induced uncertainty in 24 Organisation for Economic Co‐operation and Development (OECD) countries. Utilizing dynamic panel data analysis in the modeling process, the findings reveal that increased pandemic‐related uncertainty in the target market negatively affects the tourism demand. However, the presence of democratic institutions in the destination country positively affects the tourism demand. Finally, democratic institutions help mitigate the negative effects of pandemic uncertainty on tourism demand. The research highlights that a democratic destination can provide a more favorable environment for tourism development amid pandemic uncertainty.

Publisher

Wiley

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