Fibrinogen Level Predicts Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Heart Failure

Abstract

Background. Heart failure (HF) is a common cardiovascular disease, which is related to systemic inflammation for decades. Fibrinogen (FIB) is a sign of thrombosis and inflammation, which is associated with the prognosis of many diseases. Nevertheless, the role of fibrinogen level in the prognosis of critically ill patients with acute exacerbation of chronic heart failure is unclear. Methods. The data are from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC III) database, which is a freely accessible critical care database. The primary outcome in our study was 90-day mortality. The prognostic value of fibrinogen was analyzed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, Kaplan-Meier curve, and Cox model. Results. A total of 554 patients were included. Patients were divided into two groups, low fibrinogen level (<284 mg/dl) and high fibrinogen level (≥284 mg/dl), through the cut-off value of the ROC curve. The area under the ROC curve of fibrinogen for predicting 90-day mortality was 0.65 (95% CI: 0.59–0.70). In the unadjusted Cox model, compared with the low fibrinogen level (<284 mg/dl), the 90-day mortality of the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the high fibrinogen level is 3.33 (95% CI 2.15-5.15). In different multivariable Cox models, compared with the low fibrinogen level (<284 mg/dl), the 90-day mortality of the hazard ratio of the high fibrinogen level is from 2.83 to 3.13. In subgroup analyses, significant interactions were observed only in age, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and APS III scores. Conclusion. Our data suggest that high fibrinogen levels (≥284 mg/dl) independently predict mortality in critically ill patients with acute exacerbation of chronic heart failure. Our findings need to be further validated by large prospective studies and longer follow-up time.