A Novel Immune-Related Prognostic Signature Predicting Survival in Patients with Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

Abstract

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD) carries the lowest survival rate of all major organ cancers, which is of dismal prognosis and high mortality rate. Thus, the present study attempted to identify a few novel prognostic biomarkers and establish an immune-related prognostic signature which could predict the prognosis of PAAD. Four prognostic immune-related genes (IRGs) including S100A6, S100A10, S100A16, and SDC1 were screened by differentially expressed gene (DEG) identification and weighted gene coexpression network analysis (WGCNA). Subsequent analysis proved the high expression of these IRGs in PAAD tissues, suggested by TCGA-PAAD data, merged microarray-acquired dataset (MMD), GEPIA, and Oncomine webtool. By using MMD and TCGA-PAAD data, S100A6 (MMD: AUC = 0.897; TCGA: AUC = 0.843), S100A10 (MMD: AUC = 0.880; TCGA: AUC = 0.780), S100A16 (MMD: AUC = 0.878; TCGA: AUC = 0.838), and SDC1 (MMD: AUC = 0.885; TCGA: AUC = 0.812) exhibited excellent diagnostic efficiency for PAAD. By conducting connectivity map (CMap) analysis, we concluded that three molecule drugs (sulpiride, famotidine, and nalidixic acid) might have worked in the treatment of PAAD. Then, an immune-related prognostic index was constructed, which was validated as an independent prognostic factor for PAAD patients ( $P=0.004$ ). We further constructed a nomogram by using this immune-related signature and age, the prognostic value of which was validated by using concordance index (C-index = 0.780) and area under curve (AUC = 0.909). Moreover, the immune-related prognostic signature was associated with response to anti-PD-1/L1 immunotherapy. To sum up, four IRGs were screened out and verified to be novel immune-related prognostic biomarkers in PAAD. Besides, sulpiride, famotidine, and nalidixic acid might be potential choices in the treatment of PAAD. An immune-related signature was established to show great potential for prognosis prediction for PAAD, independently, which might guide more effective immunotherapy strategies. A nomogram is further established by using this immune-related prognostic index, which might contribute to more effective prognosis prediction in PAAD patients.