The Effect of Selected Macroeconomic Variables and Expectation Indices on the BIST 100 Index-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

The Effect of Selected Macroeconomic Variables and Expectation Indices on the BIST 100 Index

Published:2022-10-25 Issue: Volume: Page:443-466
ISSN:1305-5577
Container-title:Sosyoekonomi
language:en
Short-container-title:

Author:

ERGİN ÜNAL Ayşe¹,NAS Serkan¹,HEYBELİ Mürvet¹

Affiliation:

1. Tarsus Üniversitesi

Abstract

In this study, the macroeconomic factors and expectation indices affecting the BIST 100 index have been examined. The optimum Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model has been created by utilising the Python programming language (Python) using the ARDL method. As a result of the analysis, it has been determined that long-term variables such as United States dollar Turkish lira parity (USD/TRY), Economic Confidence Index (EGE), and Consumer Price Index (TÜFE) are correlated in the positive direction with the dependent variable BIST 100 index and in the negative direction with the 5-Year Bond Interest (FAİZ) and Volatility Index (VIX) variables. In contrast, Brent petrol United States dollar parity (BRENT) is not statistically significant.

Publisher

Sosyoekonomi

Subject

Immunology and Allergy

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