Local Learning Approaches for Finding Effects of a Specified Cause and Their Causal Paths

Abstract

Causal networks are used to describe and to discover causal relationships among variables and data generating mechanisms. There have been many approaches for learning a global causal network of all observed variables. In many applications, we may be interested in finding what are the effects of a specified cause variable and what are the causal paths from the cause variable to its effects. Instead of learning a global causal network, we propose several local learning approaches for finding all effects (or descendants) of the specified cause variable and the causal paths from the cause variable to some effect variable of interest. We discuss the identifiability of the effects and the causal paths from observed data and prior knowledge. For the case that the causal paths are not identifiable, our approaches try to find a path set that contains the causal paths of interest.