Influence of Meteorological Factors on Covid-19 Incidence in the Conditions of Ukraine

Abstract

Objective: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a problem for the health care systems of many countries around the world. Seasonal nature of influenza and other the respiratory viral diseases is commonly known. The nature of the relationship between the frequency of registration of cases of COVID-19 and natural factors is still being studied by researchers. The purpose is to determine the influence of air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and atmospheric pressure on the incidence of the coronavirus disease COVID-19 in the conditions of Ukraine. Materials and methods. Official reports of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine and data from daily monitoring of meteorological indicators conducted by the Sumy Regional Hydrometeorology Center were used in the paper. Descriptive and analytical ways of epidemiological method of investigation were applied. The search for parameters of interrelation between the frequency of registration of COVID-19 cases and meteorological cases took place using of program “Statistica”, namely the relevant tools of this program: “Analysis”/ “Multiple regression”. Results and Discussion: In the period under study from March 25, 2020 to December 31, 2021 in Sumy Oblast of Ukraine, three waves of rise in the incidence were registered. In the third wave of rise in the incidence, in autumn 2021 the frequency of registration of COVID-19 cases reached 1684.9 per 100 thousand of people, despite the fact that almost 70 % of the population had already recovered or were vaccinated. Meteorological factors in the conditions of Ukraine have little influence on the rate of spread of COVID-19. The value of multiple correlation coefficients was within those limits, which are considered moderate in terms of influence. A moderate inverse correlation was established between the frequency of registration of COVID-19 cases and indicators of air temperature, and a direct correlations - with indicators of relative air humidity. Conclusions: In the conditions of Ukraine, the studied meteorological factors (air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, atmospheric pressure) indirectly influenced the intensity of the epidemic process of COVID-19. the strength of this influence was either weak or moderate. Bangladesh Journal of Medical Science Vol. 22 No. 02 April’23 Page : 385-391