1. Department of Geological Sciences and Bolin Centre for Climate Research Stockholm University Stockholm SE‐10691, Sweden
2. Rossby Centre Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute Norrköping SE‐60176, Sweden
3. Stockholm Resilience Centre and Bolin Centre for Climate Research Stockholm University Stockholm SE‐10691, Sweden
4. Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate Research Stockholm University Stockholm SE‐10691 Sweden