Study of pediatric appendicitis scores and management strategies: A prospective observational feasibility study

Abstract

AbstractObjectiveThe objective was to investigate the feasibility of prospectively validating multiple clinical prediction scores (CPSs) for pediatric appendicitis in an Australian pediatric emergency department (ED).MethodsA literature search was conducted to identify potential CPSs and a single‐center prospective observational feasibility study was performed between November 2022 and May 2023 to evaluate the performance of identified CPSs. Children 5–15 years presenting with acute right‐sided or generalized abdominal pain and clinician suspicion of appendicitis were included. CPSs were calculated by the study team from prospectively clinician‐collected data and/or review of medical records. Accuracy of CPSs were assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and proportions correctly identifiable as either low‐risk or high‐risk with the best performing CPS compared to clinician gestalt. Final diagnosis of appendicitis was confirmed on histopathology or by telephone/email follow‐up for those discharged directly from ED.ResultsThirty CPSs were identified in the literature search and 481 patients were enrolled in the study. A total of 150 (31.2%) patients underwent appendectomy with three (2.0%) having a normal appendix on histopathology. All identified CPSs were calculable for at least 50% of the patient cohort. The pediatric Appendicitis Risk Calculator for pediatric EDs (pARC‐ED; n = 317) was the best performing CPS with AUC 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86–0.94) and specificity 99.0% (95% CI 96.4%–99.7%) in diagnosing high‐risk cases and a misclassification rate of 4.5% for low‐risk cases.ConclusionsThe study identified 30 CPSs that could be validated in a majority of patients to compare their ability to assess risk of pediatric appendicitis. The pARC‐ED had the highest predictive accuracy and can potentially assist in risk stratification of children with suspected appendicitis in pediatric EDs. A multicenter study is now under way to evaluate the potential of these CPSs in a broader range of EDs to aid clinical decision making in more varied settings.