Which News Moves the Euro Area Bond Market?

Author:

Andersson Magnus1,Sebestyén Szabolcs2,Overby Lars Jul34

Affiliation:

1. European Central Bank, Frankfurt , Germany

2. Catholic University of Portugal, Porto , Portugal

3. University of Copenhagen, Nørregade 10, København , Denmark

4. Danmarks Nationalbank,Havnegade 5, København K , Denmark

Abstract

Abstract This paper explores a long dataset (1999-2005) of intraday prices on German long-term bond futures and examines market responses to major macroeconomic announcements and ECB monetary policy releases. German bond markets tend to react more strongly to the surprise component in US macro releases compared with aggregated and national euro area and UK releases, and the strength of those reactions to US releases has increased over the period considered. We also document that the numbers of German unemployed workers consistently have been known to investors before official releases.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

Economics and Econometrics

Reference25 articles.

1. Intraday Periodicity and Volatility Persistence in Financial Markets;Andersen;Journal of Empirical Finance,1997

2. Deutsche Mark-Dollar Volatility;Andersen;Journal of Finance,1998

3. Micro Effects of Macro Announcements;Andersen;American Economic Review,2003

4. Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets;Andersen;Journal of International Economics,2007

5. Andersson, M. , L. J. Overby and S. Sebestyén (2006), ‘Which News Moves the Euro Area Bond Market?’, ECB Working Paper No. 631.

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