Evaluating the use of realtime data in forecasting output levels and recessionary events in the USA-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

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Evaluating the use of realtime data in forecasting output levels and recessionary events in the USA

Published:2018-04-22 Issue:1 Volume:182 Page:131-163
ISSN:0964-1998
Container-title:Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)
language:en
Short-container-title:J. R. Stat. Soc. A

Author:

Aristidou Chrystalleni¹,Lee Kevin¹,Shields Kalvinder²

Affiliation:

1. University of Nottingham UK

2. University of Melbourne Australia

Funder

Australian Research Council

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Economics and Econometrics,Social Sciences (miscellaneous),Statistics and Probability

Link

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/rssa.12366

Reference40 articles.

1. Exchange rates and fundamentals: evidence on the economic value of predictability

2. PREDICTING THE PROBABILITY OF A RECESSION WITH NONLINEAR AUTOREGRESSIVE LEADING-INDICATOR MODELS

3. Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?

4. Spreads versus professional forecasters as predictors of future output change

5. Aristidou C.(2015)Nowcast and forecast evaluation when real‐time data are available.Working Paper. University of Nottingham Nottingham.

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1. Tracking trend output using expectations data;Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society;2024-07-24

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