The ecological forecast horizon, and examples of its uses and determinants

Author:

Petchey Owen L.12ORCID,Pontarp Mikael13,Massie Thomas M.1,Kéfi Sonia4,Ozgul Arpat1,Weilenmann Maja1,Palamara Gian Marco1,Altermatt Florian12,Matthews Blake5,Levine Jonathan M.6,Childs Dylan Z.7,McGill Brian J.8,Schaepman Michael E.9,Schmid Bernhard1,Spaak Piet26,Beckerman Andrew P.7,Pennekamp Frank1,Pearse Ian S.10

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies University of Zurich Winterthurerstrasse 190 CH‐8057 Zurich Switzerland

2. Department of Aquatic Ecology Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology Überlandstrasse 133, 8600 Dübendorf Switzerland

3. Department of Ecology and Environmental Science Umeå University SE‐ 901 87 Umeå Sweden

4. Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution Université de Montpellier CNRS, IRD, EPHE, CC065 Place Eugène Bataillon 34095 Montpellier Cedex 05 France

5. Department of Aquatic Ecology Center for Ecology, Evolution, and Biogeochemistry Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology Kastanienbaum Seestrasse 79, 6047 Luzern Switzerland

6. Institute of Integrative Biology ETH Zurich Universitätstrasse 16, 8092, Zurich Switzerland

7. Animal and Plant Sciences Sheffield University Sheffield Western Bank. S10 2TN South Yorkshire UK

8. School of Biology and Ecology and Mitchel Center for Sustainability Solutions University of Maine Orono 5751 Murray Hall, ME 04469 USA

9. University of Zurich Department of Geography Remote Sensing Laboratories Winterthurerstrasse 190, CH‐8057 Zurich Switzerland

10. The Illinois Natural History Survey Champaign 1816 South Oak Street, MC 652, IL 61820 USA

Funder

Schweizerische Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung

FP7/2007-2013

NERC Tansley Working Group: Advancing the ecological foundations of sustainability science

NERC Tansley Working Group: FunKey Traits: Using Key Functional Traits to develop ecosystem service indicators

University of Zurich Research Priority Program on Global Change and Biodiversity

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

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