Prediction of Lake Trout (Salvelinus namaycush) Presence in Low-Alkalinity Lakes near Sudbury, Ontario

Abstract

Surveys of 30 low-alkalinity lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) lakes near Sudbury, Ontario, were conducted to assess factors that affect lake trout presence under acidification stress. At the time of the surveys the lakes varied widely in pH (4.5–6.9), concentrations of toxic metals (Al 12–300 μg∙L−1), and the status of lake trout populations (extinct–abundant). Fish community structure (species richness, species assemblages) reflected and was readily predicted from measured water quality variables. A PCA factor composed of pH, alkalinity, and conductivity was the variable that best predicted lake trout presence (correct discrimination (> 92%). The results of this study provide managers with easily obtainable predictors for monitoring lake trout status under changing levels of acidic deposition.