MULTIFAN-CL: a length-based, age-structured model for fisheries stock assessment, with application to South Pacific albacore, Thunnus alalunga

Abstract

We introduce a length-based, age-structured model, MULTIFAN-CL, that provides an integrated method of estimating catch age composition, growth parameters, mortality rates, recruitment, and other parameters from time series of fishery catch, effort, and length frequency data. The method incorporates Bayesian parameter estimation, estimation of confidence intervals for model parameters, and procedures for hypothesis testing to assist model development. We apply the method to South Pacific albacore, Thunnus alalunga, fishery data and demonstrate the incorporation of model structure such as spatial heterogeneity, age-dependent natural mortality and movement rates, time series trends and seasonal variation in catchability, and density-dependent growth. Consistency of the results of the albacore analysis with various exogenous sets of biological and environmental data gives credence to the model results.