Affiliation:
1. Department of General Surgery, Ankara Education and Research Hospital, Ankara, Turkey
Abstract
Background/Aim:
His study aimed to evaluate the availability of common diagnostic tests and biochemical markers in predicting poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC). The primary outcome measure was to identify predictive prognostic factors. The secondary outcome measure was to compare predictive measures in patients who survived or did not survive in the follow-up period.
Materials and Methods:
Medical data of 51 patients were obtained who underwent resection surgery for PAC between January 2016 and May 2022. There were two groups according to the mortality in the follow-up period group general mortality positive (GMP; n = 29) and group general mortality negative (GMN; n = 22). Stage IIb was the most common stage in subgroups.
Results:
Preoperative diagnostic tests revealed that aspartate aminotransferase (AST) level, De Ritis ratio (DRR), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9), immature granulocyte (IG) count, and IG ratio (IG%) are higher, and hemoglobin (Hgb) levels are lower in the GMP group (P < 0.05). In univariate analysis, seven variables, including AST ≥20.5 (P = 0.001), DRR ≥1.05 (P ≤ 0.001), CEA ≥3.32 (P = 0.02), IG count ≥0.06 (P < 0.01), Hgb ≤11.75 (P = 0.01), poor differentiation (P < 0.001) and existence of life-threatening complication (P < 0.01) were identified. In multivariate analysis, only DRR (≥1.05;100% specificity and 72% sensitivity) and poor differentiation (P = 0.019) were found to be independent prognostic factors for overall survival. The median overall survival of patients with the DRR ≥1.05 and poor tumor differentiation was lower, and the mortality rate was higher than the patients with DRR and without poor tumor differentiation (10.65 ± 3.11 months vs. 61.86 ± 5.36 months and 100% vs. 26.7%, P < 0.001).
Conclusion:
Pretreatment high DRR, high IG counts and IG%, and poor differentiation of the tumor might be used as independent predictors of poor prognosis and mortality in patients with PAC.