Why are we surprised at surprises? Integrating disruption theory and system analysis with the scenario methodology to help identify disruptions and discontinuities

Author:

Burt George

Publisher

Elsevier BV

Subject

Management of Technology and Innovation,Applied Psychology,Business and International Management

Reference54 articles.

1. On forecasting discontinuity;Ayres;Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change,2000

2. From my perspective VIII. Continuum of change: perspectives on physical or “hard sciences”;Molitor;Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change,2005

3. Long-term patterns and discontinuities;Grubler;Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change,1991

4. Technological discontinuity and competitive strategy — revival through FMS for the European machine tool industry;Ehrnberg;Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change,1993

5. Historical lessons from technological disruptions: will the storm always pass?;Coates;Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change,1997

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