1. Arnell, N.W., Cannell, M.G.R., Hulme, M., Kovats, R.S., Mitchell, J.F.B., Nicholls, R.J., Parry, M.L., Livermore, M.T.J., White, A., Climatic Change, in press.
2. IPCC, 2000. The IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). IPCC, Geneva.
3. IPCC, 2001a. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability—Contribution of Working Group II to the IPCC Third Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
4. IPCC, 2001b. Climate change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Technical Summary of the Working Group I Report, Geneva, 2001.
5. The second Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM: model description, spinup and validation