Prognostic factors of sarcomas occurring in bone and joint: A SEER based study

Abstract

To clarify the epidemiology, treatment, and prognosis of sarcomas occurring in the bones and joints. The surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) 18 registries, comprising sarcoma diagnoses made between 2008 and 2014, were queried for sarcomas arising in bones or joints. Kaplan–Meier analysis, multivariate logistic regression analysis, Cox proportional hazards model, and nomograms were used to identify prognostic factors. 2794 patients aged from 1 to 99 (55.8% male) with microscopically confirmed diagnosed as sarcomas (including osteosarcoma, chondrosarcoma, Ewing sarcoma, and soft tissue sarcomas) which primary site limited to bone and joint were identified. Eight independent factors, including age, race, sex, tumor site, histology, pathology grade, tumor size, and total number of malignant tumors (TNOMT), were associated with tumor metastasis. Nine independent prognostic factors, including age (>=60 year, hazard ratio [HR] = 4.145, 95% confidence interval [CI], P < .001), sex (female, HR = 0.814, 95%CI, P = .007), tumor site (spine, HR = 2.527, 95%CI, P < .001), histology, pathology grade (undifferentiated, HR = 5.816, 95%CI, P < .001), tumor size (>=20 cm, HR = 3.043, 95%CI, P < .001), tumor extent (distant, HR = 4.145, 95%CI, P < .001), surgery (no performed, HR = 2.436, 95%CI, P < .001), and TNOMT (1, HR = 0.679, 95%CI, P < .001, were identified and incorporated to construct a nomogram for 2- and 5-year overall survival (OS). The calibration curve for the probability of survival showed good agreement between prediction by the nomogram and actual observation. The C-index of the nomogram for survival prediction was 0.814. Patients who received chemotherapy had a significantly decreased risk of death only for Ewing sarcoma, poorly differentiated tumors, undifferentiated tumors, and distant tumor invasion (P < .05). However, radiotherapy did not show significant differences in OS. This study presents population-based estimates of prognosis for patients with bone sarcomas and demonstrates the impact of age, race, sex, tumor site, histology, pathology grade, tumor size, tumor extent, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and the TNOMT on OS. Moreover, the nomogram resulted in a more accurate prognostic prediction. However, in our study, radiotherapy showed no survival benefit, perhaps because detailed data on treatment factors were unavailable and which may have influenced the results.