Development and validation of radiomics nomograms for preoperative prediction of characteristics in non-small cell lung cancer and circulating tumor cells

Abstract

To develop and validate 3 radiomics nomograms for preoperative prediction of pathological and progression diagnosis in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) as well as circulating tumor cells (CTCs). A total of 224 and 134 patients diagnosed with NSCLC were respectively gathered in 2018 and 2019 in this study. There were totally 1197 radiomics features that were extracted and quantified from the images produced by computed tomography. Then we selected the radiomics features with predictive value by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and combined them into radiomics signature. Logistic regression models were built using radiomics signature as the only predictor, which were then converted to nomograms for individualized predictions. Finally, the performance of the nomograms was assessed on both cohorts. Additionally, immunohistochemical correlation analysis was also performed. As for discrimination, the area under the curve of pathological diagnosis nomogram and progression diagnosis nomogram in NSCLC were both higher than 90% in the training cohort and higher than 80% in the validation cohort. The performance of the CTC-diagnosis nomogram was somehow unexpected where the area under the curve were range from 60% to 70% in both cohorts. As for calibration, nonsignificant statistics (P > .05) yielded by Hosmer–Lemeshow tests suggested no departure between model prediction and perfect fit. Additionally, decision curve analyses demonstrated the clinically usefulness of the nomograms. We developed radiomics-based nomograms for pathological, progression and CTC diagnosis prediction in NSCLC respectively. Nomograms for pathological and progression diagnosis were demonstrated well-performed to facilitate the individualized preoperative prediction, while the nomogram for CTC-diagnosis prediction needed improvement.