Aspirational nitrogen interventions accelerate air pollution abatement and ecosystem protection

Author:

Guo Yixin123ORCID,Zhao Hao45ORCID,Winiwarter Wilfried56ORCID,Chang Jinfeng45ORCID,Wang Xiaolin1ORCID,Zhou Mi7ORCID,Havlik Petr5ORCID,Leclere David5ORCID,Pan Da8ORCID,Kanter David9,Zhang Lin12ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Laboratory for Climate and Ocean–Atmosphere Studies, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

2. Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

3. Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences (EOAS) Thrust, Function Hub, Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (Guangzhou), Guangzhou 511442, China.

4. College of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.

5. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.

6. Institute of Environmental Engineering, University of Zielona Góra, Zielona Góra, Poland.

7. Princeton School of International and Public Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA.

8. Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA.

9. Department of Environmental Studies, New York University, New York, NY 10003, USA.

Abstract

Although reactive nitrogen (Nr) emissions from food and energy production contribute to multi-dimensional environmental damages, integrated management of Nr is still lacking owing to unclear future mitigation potentials and benefits. Here, we find that by 2050, high-ambition compared to low-ambition N interventions reduce global ammonia and nitrogen oxide emissions by 21 and 22 TgN/a, respectively, equivalent to 40 and 52% of their 2015 levels. This would mitigate population-weighted PM2.5 by 6 g/m 3 and avoid premature deaths by 817 k (16%), mitigate ozone by 4 ppbv, avoid premature deaths by 252k (34%) and crop yield losses by 122 million tons (4.3%), and decrease terrestrial ecosystem areas exceeding critical load by 420 Mha (69%). Without nitrogen interventions, most environmental damages examined will deteriorate between 2015 and 2050; Africa and Asia are the most vulnerable but also benefit the most from interventions. Nitrogen interventions support sustainable development goals related to air, health, and ecosystems.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

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