The impact of relaxing interventions on human contact patterns and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in China

Author:

Zhang Juanjuan1,Litvinova Maria23,Liang Yuxia1ORCID,Zheng Wen1,Shi Huilin1,Vespignani Alessandro34,Viboud Cecile5ORCID,Ajelli Marco24,Yu Hongjie167

Affiliation:

1. School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China.

2. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health, Bloomington, IN, USA.

3. ISI Foundation, Turin, Italy.

4. Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA.

5. Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.

6. Department of infectious diseases, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University.

7. Shanghai Institute of Infectious Disease and Biosecurity, Fudan University.

Abstract

Social contacts estimated in the post-lockdown period in four large Chinese cities are not sufficient to sustain local SARS-CoV-2 transmission.

Funder

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation

National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars

National Science and Technology Major Project of China

Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference54 articles.

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2. National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China Update on COVID-19 as of 24:00 on July 30 2020 (2020); www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/yqtb/202007/f81f2c2e757240a88bbc0a265f4249de.shtml [accessed 31 July 2020].

3. “Workplaces resume operations from February 10 ” Tencent News 2020; https://new.qq.com/omn/20200131/20200131A0L4GF00.html [accessed 9 July 2020].

4. “COVID-19 resurgence threatens South Korea’s success story ” The Diplomat 2020; https://thediplomat.com/2020/06/covid-19-resurgence-threatens-south-koreas-success-story/ [accessed 12 June 2020].

5. University of Minnesota US posts largest single-day jump in new COVID-19 cases (2020); www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/07/us-posts-largest-single-day-jump-new-covid-19-cases [accessed 9 July 2020].

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