Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola

Author:

Takahashi Saki1,Metcalf C. Jessica E.12,Ferrari Matthew J.3,Moss William J.4,Truelove Shaun A.4,Tatem Andrew J.567,Grenfell Bryan T.16,Lessler Justin4

Affiliation:

1. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.

2. Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.

3. Centre for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA 16801, USA.

4. Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA.

5. Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK.

6. Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.

7. Flowminder Foundation, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden.

Abstract

Vaccinate children despite Ebola During the medical emergency caused by the Ebola virus outbreak in West Africa, routine childhood vaccination programs have been suspended. If vaccination is not resumed soon, there could be even more deaths. Measles is highly infectious, and outbreaks are a sign of health care systems in trouble. Using mathematical modelling, Takahashi et al. estimate that about a million children across Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea are vulnerable to measles. Aggressive public health programs are vital for this region to minimize harm, not only from measles but also from polio, malaria, tuberculosis, and other childhood infections. Science , this issue p. 1240

Funder

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)

NIAID

U.S. Department of Homeland Security

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

RAPIDD

NIH Fogarty International Center

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference31 articles.

1. World Health Organization “Ebola situation report” (2015); www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/.

2. T.G. Nyenswah et al . Evidence for declining numbers of Ebola cases—Montserrado County Liberia June–October 2014. Morbid. Mortal. Wkly. Rep. 63 (early release) 1–5; www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm63e1114a2.htm.

3. World Health Organization “Global vaccine action plan 2011–2020” (2013); www.who.int/immunization/global_vaccine_action_plan/GVAP_doc_2011_2020/en/.

4. Global, regional, and national causes of child mortality in 2000–13, with projections to inform post-2015 priorities: an updated systematic analysis

5. Assessment of the 2010 global measles mortality reduction goal: results from a model of surveillance data

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