The Future for Fisheries

Author:

Pauly Daniel123,Alder Jackie123,Bennett Elena123,Christensen Villy123,Tyedmers Peter123,Watson Reg123

Affiliation:

1. Sea Around Us Project, Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada.

2. Center for Limnology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706, USA

3. School for Resource and Environmental Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS B3H 3J5, Canada.

Abstract

Formal analyses of long-term global marine fisheries prospects have yet to be performed, because fisheries research focuses on local, species-specific management issues. Extrapolation of present trends implies expansion of bottom fisheries into deeper waters, serious impact on biodiversity, and declining global catches, the last possibly aggravated by fuel cost increases. Examination of four scenarios, covering various societal development choices, suggests that the negative trends now besetting fisheries can be turned around, and their supporting ecosystems rebuilt, at least partly.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference31 articles.

1. The FAO regularly issues demand-driven global projections wherein aquaculture notably in China is assumed to compensate for shortfalls if any in fisheries landings (see www.fao.org).

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4. D. Pauly, in Ecological Integrity: Integrating Environment, Conservation and Health, D. Pimentel, L. Westra, R. F. Ross, Eds. (Island Press, Washington, DC, 2000), pp. 227–239.

5. Hunting became a secondary activity 2000 years ago: marine fishing did the same in 2021

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