Multidecadal Changes in the Vertical Temperature Structure of the Tropical Troposphere

Author:

Gaffen Dian J.1,Santer Benjamin D.2,Boyle James S.2,Christy John R.3,Graham Nicholas E.4,Ross Rebecca J.1

Affiliation:

1. Air Resources Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, R/ARL, 1315 East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910, USA.

2. Program for Climate Model Diagnostics and Intercomparison, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550, USA.

3. Earth System Science Laboratory, University of Alabama–Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USA.

4. Climate Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.

Abstract

Trends in global lower tropospheric temperature derived from satellite observations since 1979 show less warming than trends based on surface meteorological observations. Independent radiosonde observations of surface and tropospheric temperatures confirm that, since 1979, there has been greater warming at the surface than aloft in the tropics. Associated lapse-rate changes show a decrease in the static stability of the atmosphere, which exceeds unforced static stability variations in climate simulations with state-of-the-art coupled ocean-atmosphere models. The differential temperature trends and lapse-rate changes seen during the satellite era are not sustained back to 1960.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference38 articles.

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2. Trends in globally averaged temperatures for the most recent version (d) of the MSU data for the period 1979–97 are −0.04 K decade −1 for the mid troposphere (MSU 2) and −0.01 K decade −1 for the lower troposphere (MSU 2LT). The previous version (c) yields trends of +0.01 K decade −1 (MSU 2) and −0.04 K decade −1 (MSU 2LT). Trends for the tropical belt (30°N to 30°S) are −0.01 K decade −1 (MSU 2) and −0.07 K decade −1 (MSU 2LT) for version d and +0.03 K decade −1 (MSU 2) and −0.10 K decade −1 (MSU 2LT) for version c. The two versions differ in that d includes adjustments for satellite orbital decay (6) diurnal sampling drift and instrument-body temperature effects as discussed by J. R. Christy R. W. Spencer and W. D. Braswell [ J. Atmos. Oceanic Tech. in press]. The studies cited in (6) (7) (14) and (16) use version c or an earlier version of the MSU data.

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