Forest Fires: An Example of Self-Organized Critical Behavior

Author:

Malamud Bruce D.1,Morein Gleb1,Turcotte Donald L.1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Geological Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853–1504, USA.

Abstract

Despite the many complexities concerning their initiation and propagation, forest fires exhibit power-law frequency-area statistics over many orders of magnitude. A simple forest fire model, which is an example of self-organized criticality, exhibits similar behavior. One practical implication of this result is that the frequency-area distribution of small and medium fires can be used to quantify the risk of large fires, as is routinely done for earthquakes.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference24 articles.

1. K. Aki in Earthquake Prediction: An International Review D. W. Simpson and P. G. Richards Eds. (American Geophysical Union Washington DC 1981) pp. 566–574;

2. Turcotte D. L., Tectonophysics 167, 171 (1989);

3. ; A. Frankel et al. U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rep. 96-532 (1996).

4. Bak P., Tang C., Wiesenfeld K., Phys. Rev. A 38, 364 (1988);

5. Kadanoff L. P., Nagel S. R., Wu L., Zhou S. M., ibid. 39, 6524 (1989).

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