Disentangling the numbers behind agriculture-driven tropical deforestation-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Disentangling the numbers behind agriculture-driven tropical deforestation

Published:2022-09-09 Issue:6611 Volume:377 Page:
ISSN:0036-8075
Container-title:Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Science

Author:

Pendrill Florence¹^ORCID,Gardner Toby A.²^ORCID,Meyfroidt Patrick³⁴^ORCID,Persson U. Martin¹^ORCID,Adams Justin⁵,Azevedo Tasso⁶^ORCID,Bastos Lima Mairon G.²^ORCID,Baumann Matthias⁷^ORCID,Curtis Philip G.⁸^ORCID,De Sy Veronique⁹^ORCID,Garrett Rachael¹⁰¹¹^ORCID,Godar Javier²^ORCID,Goldman Elizabeth Dow¹²,Hansen Matthew C.¹³^ORCID,Heilmayr Robert¹⁴¹⁵^ORCID,Herold Martin¹⁶,Kuemmerle Tobias⁷¹⁷^ORCID,Lathuillière Michael J.²^ORCID,Ribeiro Vivian²,Tyukavina Alexandra¹³^ORCID,Weisse Mikaela J.¹²^ORCID,West Chris¹⁸^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden.

2. Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), Stockholm, Sweden.

3. Georges Lemaître Earth and Climate Research Centre, Earth and Life Institute, UCLouvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.

4. Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique F.R.S.-FNRS, Brussels, Belgium.

5. Tropical Forest Alliance, World Economic Forum, Geneva, Switzerland.

6. Observatório do Clima, MapBiomas, São Paulo, Brazil.

7. Geography Department, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.

8. Juniata Analytics LLC, Denver, CO, USA.

9. Laboratory of Geo-Information Science and Remote Sensing, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, Netherlands.

10. Environmental PolicyLab, Department of Humanities, Social, and Political Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zürich, Switzerland.

11. Department of Geography and Cambridge Conservation Initiative, Cambridge University, Cambridge, UK.

12. Global Forest Watch, World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USA.

13. Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA.

14. Environmental Studies Program, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, California, USA.

15. Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, California, USA.

16. Helmholz GFZ Research Centre for Geosciences, Section 1.4 Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, Germany.

17. Integrated Research Institute for Transformations in Human-Environment Systems (IRI THESys), Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.

18. Stockholm Environment Institute York, Department of Environment and Geography, University of York, York, UK.

Abstract

Tropical deforestation continues at alarming rates with profound impacts on ecosystems, climate, and livelihoods, prompting renewed commitments to halt its continuation. Although it is well established that agriculture is a dominant driver of deforestation, rates and mechanisms remain disputed and often lack a clear evidence base. We synthesize the best available pantropical evidence to provide clarity on how agriculture drives deforestation. Although most (90 to 99%) deforestation across the tropics 2011 to 2015 was driven by agriculture, only 45 to 65% of deforested land became productive agriculture within a few years. Therefore, ending deforestation likely requires combining measures to create deforestation-free supply chains with landscape governance interventions. We highlight key remaining evidence gaps including deforestation trends, commodity-specific land-use dynamics, and data from tropical dry forests and forests across Africa.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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