Climate-driven regime shift of a temperate marine ecosystem

Author:

Wernberg Thomas1,Bennett Scott123,Babcock Russell C.14,de Bettignies Thibaut15,Cure Katherine16,Depczynski Martial6,Dufois Francois7,Fromont Jane8,Fulton Christopher J.9,Hovey Renae K.1,Harvey Euan S.2,Holmes Thomas H.110,Kendrick Gary A.1,Radford Ben611,Santana-Garcon Julia123,Saunders Benjamin J.2,Smale Dan A.112,Thomsen Mads S.113,Tuckett Chenae A.1,Tuya Fernando14,Vanderklift Mathew A.7,Wilson Shaun110

Affiliation:

1. School of Plant Biology and Oceans Institute, The University of Western Australia, 39 Fairway, Crawley, Western Australia 6009, Australia.

2. Department of Environment and Agriculture, School of Science, Curtin University, Bentley, Western Australia 6102, Australia.

3. Department of Global Change Research, Institut Mediterrani d’Estudis Avançats (Universitat de les Illes Balears – Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas), Esporles, Spain.

4. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Oceans and Atmosphere, General Post Office Box 2583, Brisbane, Queensland 4001, Australia.

5. Service du Patrimoine Naturel, Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, 36 Rue Geoffroy Saint-Hilaire CP41, Paris 75005, France.

6. Australian Institute of Marine Science, 39 Fairway, Crawley, Western Australia 6009, Australia.

7. CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Private Bag 5, Wembley, Western Australia 6913, Australia.

8. Western Australian Museum, Locked Bag 49, Welshpool DC, Western Australia 6986, Australia.

9. Research School of Biology, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 2601, Australia.

10. Marine Science Program, Science Division, Department of Parks and Wildlife, Kensington, Western Australia 6151, Australia.

11. School of Geography and Environmental Science, The University of Western Australia, 39 Fairway, Crawley, Western Australia 6009, Australia.

12. Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom, The Laboratory, Citadel Hill, Plymouth PL1 2PB, UK.

13. Marine Ecology Group, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch, New Zealand.

14. Instituto Universitario Ecoaqua, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Canary Islands, Spain.

Abstract

No turning back? Ecosystems over time have endured much disturbance, yet they tend to remain intact, a characteristic we call resilience. Though many systems have been lost and destroyed, for systems that remain physically intact, there is debate as to whether changing temperatures will result in shifts or collapses. Wernburg et al. show that extreme warming of a temperate kelp forest off Australia resulted not only in its collapse, but also in a shift in community composition that brought about an increase in herbivorous tropical fishes that prevent the reestablishment of kelp. Thus, many systems may not be resilient to the rapid climate change that we face. Science , this issue p. 169

Funder

Australian Research Council

Hermon Slade Foundation

U.K. Natural Environment Research Council Independent Research Fellowship

Australian Institute of Marine Science

Australian National University

Western Australian Museum

Department of Parks and Wildlife

CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere

Fisheries Research and Development Corporation

The Marsden Fund of The Royal Society of New Zealand

WA Strategic Research Fund

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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