A national-scale assessment of land subsidence in China’s major cities

Author:

Ao Zurui1ORCID,Hu Xiaomei23ORCID,Tao Shengli23ORCID,Hu Xie34ORCID,Wang Guoquan5,Li Mingjia6ORCID,Wang Fang7ORCID,Hu Litang8ORCID,Liang Xiuyu9ORCID,Xiao Jingfeng10ORCID,Yusup Asadilla23ORCID,Qi Wenhua23,Ran Qinwei23ORCID,Fang Jiayi1112ORCID,Chang Jinfeng13ORCID,Zeng Zhenzhong9ORCID,Fu Yongshuo8ORCID,Xue Baolin14ORCID,Wang Ping15ORCID,Zhao Kefei16ORCID,Li Le16ORCID,Li Wenkai17,Li Yumei18,Jiang Mi19ORCID,Yang Yuanhe20ORCID,Shen Haihua20,Zhao Xia20ORCID,Shi Yue20ORCID,Wu Bo20ORCID,Yan Zhengbing20ORCID,Wang Mengjia21ORCID,Su Yanjun20ORCID,Hu Tianyu20ORCID,Ma Qin222324ORCID,Bai Hao23ORCID,Wang Lijun2325,Yang Ziyan2326,Feng Yuhao23ORCID,Zhang Danhua23,Huang Erhan23ORCID,Pan Jiamin23ORCID,Ye Huiying23,Yang Chen23ORCID,Qin Yanwei23,He Chenqi23ORCID,Guo Yanpei23ORCID,Cheng Kai27,Ren Yu27ORCID,Yang Haitao27ORCID,Zheng Chengyang23ORCID,Zhu Jiangling23,Wang Shaopeng23ORCID,Ji Chengjun23,Zhu Biao23ORCID,Liu Hongyan23ORCID,Tang Zhiyao23ORCID,Wang Zhiheng23ORCID,Zhao Shuqing28ORCID,Tang Yanhong23,Xing Hanfa1ORCID,Guo Qinghua27ORCID,Liu Yu27ORCID,Fang Jingyun23ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Beidou Research Institute, Faculty of Engineering, South China Normal University, Foshan 528000, China.

2. Institute of Ecology, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

3. Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

4. College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

5. Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204, USA.

6. Department of Earth and Space Sciences, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China.

7. River Basin Habitats Research Center, College of Architecture and Landscape Architecture, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

8. College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

9. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China.

10. Earth Systems Research Center, Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824, USA.

11. Institute of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 311121, China.

12. Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Urban Wetlands and Regional Change, Hangzhou 311121, China.

13. College of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China.

14. Innovation Research Center of Satellite Application (IRCSA), Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

15. Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.

16. School of Management, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510520, China.

17. School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China.

18. Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.

19. School of Geospatial Engineering and Science, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai 519082, China.

20. Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100093, China.

21. School of Geo-science and Technology, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China.

22. School of Geography, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China.

23. Key Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment (Nanjing Normal University), Ministry of Education, Nanjing 210023, China.

24. Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China.

25. Faculty of Geosciences and Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, China.

26. College of Forestry, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China.

27. Institute of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System, School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

28. School of Ecology, Hainan University, Haikou 570228, China.

Abstract

China’s massive wave of urbanization may be threatened by land subsidence. Using a spaceborne synthetic aperture radar interferometry technique, we provided a systematic assessment of land subsidence in all of China’s major cities from 2015 to 2022. Of the examined urban lands, 45% are subsiding faster than 3 millimeters per year, and 16% are subsiding faster than 10 millimeters per year, affecting 29 and 7% of the urban population, respectively. The subsidence appears to be associated with a range of factors such as groundwater withdrawal and the weight of buildings. By 2120, 22 to 26% of China’s coastal lands will have a relative elevation lower than sea level, hosting 9 to 11% of the coastal population, because of the combined effect of city subsidence and sea-level rise. Our results underscore the necessity of enhancing protective measures to mitigate potential damages from subsidence.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

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