Increasing Trend of Extreme Rain Events Over India in a Warming Environment-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Increasing Trend of Extreme Rain Events Over India in a Warming Environment

Published:2006-12 Issue:5804 Volume:314 Page:1442-1445
ISSN:0036-8075
Container-title:Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Science

Author:

Goswami B. N.¹²,Venugopal V.¹²,Sengupta D.¹²,Madhusoodanan M. S.¹²,Xavier Prince K.¹²

Affiliation:

1. Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Doctor Homi Bhabha Road, Pashan, Pune 411 008, India.

2. Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Karnataka 560 012, India.

Abstract

Against a backdrop of rising global surface temperature, the stability of the Indian monsoon rainfall over the past century has been a puzzle. By using a daily rainfall data set, we show (i) significant rising trends in the frequency and the magnitude of extreme rain events and (ii) a significant decreasing trend in the frequency of moderate events over central India during the monsoon seasons from 1951 to 2000. The seasonal mean rainfall does not show a significant trend, because the contribution from increasing heavy events is offset by decreasing moderate events. A substantial increase in hazards related to heavy rain is expected over central India in the future.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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