Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome

Published:2003-06-20 Issue:5627 Volume:300 Page:1966-1970
ISSN:0036-8075
Container-title:Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Science

Author:

Lipsitch Marc¹²³⁴⁵,Cohen Ted¹²³⁴⁵,Cooper Ben¹²³⁴⁵,Robins James M.¹²³⁴⁵,Ma Stefan¹²³⁴⁵,James Lyn¹²³⁴⁵,Gopalakrishna Gowri¹²³⁴⁵,Chew Suok Kai¹²³⁴⁵,Tan Chorh Chuan¹²³⁴⁵,Samore Matthew H.¹²³⁴⁵,Fisman David¹²³⁴⁵,Murray Megan¹²³⁴⁵

Affiliation:

1. Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.

2. Epidemiology and Disease Control Division, Ministry of Health, College of Medicine Building, 16 College Road, Singapore 169854.

3. Department of Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84132, USA.

4. Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario L8N 3Z5, Canada.

5. City of Hamilton Public Health and Community Service Department, Hamilton, Ontario L8R 3L5, Canada.

Abstract

Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a recently described illness of humans that has spread widely over the past 6 months. With the use of detailed epidemiologic data from Singapore and epidemic curves from other settings, we estimated the reproductive number for SARS in the absence of interventions and in the presence of control efforts. We estimate that a single infectious case of SARS will infect about three secondary cases in a population that has not yet instituted control measures. Public-health efforts to reduce transmission are expected to have a substantial impact on reducing the size of the epidemic.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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