Landslide Susceptibility Region Mapping Using GIS, Analytic Hierarchy Process Model, and Multi-Criteria Analysis at the Chemoga Watershed, Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia

Abstract

Abstract Landslide susceptibility consists of an essential component in the day-to-day activity of human beings. A landslide incident typically happening at a low rate of recurrence when compared and in contrast to other events. This might be generated into main natural catastrophes relating to widespread and undesirable sound effects. Therefore, based on this perception and merging with the expert approach that has been the propensity to encourage and defy extreme physical development to generate a methodology to use GIS, AHP, and Multi-criteria decision analysis for landslide susceptibility maps. A geographic information system is a grouping with additional methods, such as the method for multi-criteria decision making. MCDA techniques are applied under such circumstances to categorize and class decisions for successive comprehensive estimation or else to state possible from impossible potentiality with various landslides. Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) constructively applies for conveying influence to different criteria within Multi-criteria decision analysis. The causative landslide weights utilized within this research were elevation, slope, aspect, Soil type, Lithology, Distance to stream, Land use land cover, rainfall and drainage density achieved from various sources. Subsequently, to explain the significance of each constraint into landslide susceptibility weights of all factors were finding out AHP technique. Generally, landslide susceptibility maps of all factors were multiplied to their weights to acquire with the AHP technique. The result showed that the AHP methods are comparatively good quality estimators of landslide susceptibility identification within the chemoga watershed. As the result, the Chemoga watershed area of landslide susceptibility map classes was classified as 46.52%, 13.83%.18.71%, 15.39%, and 5.55% of the occurred landslide fall to very low, low, moderate, high, and very high susceptibility zones respectively. Performance and accuracy of modeled maps have been established using GPS field data and Google earth data landslide map and Area under Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (ROC). The research outcomes inveterate the very good test consistency of the generated maps. As the result, validation depends on the ROC specifies the accuracy of the map formed with the AHP merged through weighted overly method illustrated very good accuracy of AUC value 81.45%.