An Assessment of Wildfire Risk in Historically Redlined Neighborhoods: An Analysis of Environmental Justice

Author:

Keyoung Estella Sky1

Affiliation:

1. Orange County School of the Arts

Abstract

Abstract

This study investigates the correlation between historical redlining from Home Owners’ Loan Corporation (HOLC) maps and wildfire risk through the lens of environmental justice. By integrating historical and socio-economic data into wildfire risk assessment models, the research aims to better understand vulnerability in affected neighborhoods. Background information was collected from a literature review of two topics—redlining and wildfire mapping–to assess data gaps. Publicly available datasets were then used to create an updated wildfire risk assessment map. The “Zonal statistics” tool within QGIS (QGIS.org) was utilized to calculate mean wildfire risk values in all four redlined neighborhood types for over 8,000 points across the continental United States. The Kruskal-Wallis-test analysis of variables was used to examine the association between HOLC rankings and wildfire risk and indicated a weak correlation. Historically richer White neighborhoods have a higher risk for wildfire than redlined neighborhoods in the present. The study’s findings highlight the complexity of environmental justice issues, suggesting that other factors besides wildfires, like urban heat islands, pose a more immediate concern for historically marginalized communities. Future research may assess the relationship between wildfire risk and urban-to-rural gradients to gain a more comprehensive understanding of wildfires and environmental racism.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

Reference19 articles.

1. The Effects of the 1930s HOLC “Redlining” Maps;Aaronson D;American Economic Journal: Economic Policy,2021

2. Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Wildfire Risk in the United States;An H;Forests,2015

3. Heightened Risk of Fire Deaths among Older African Americans and Native Americans;Bishai D;Public Health Reports,2010

4. The Unequal Vulnerability of Communities of Color to Wildfire;Davies IP;PLOS ONE,2018

5. Dillon, G. K., Menakis, J., & Fay, F. (2015). Wildfire Hazard Potential | Fire, Fuel, and Smoke Science Program. Missoula Fire Systems Laboratory. https://www.firelab.org/project/wildfire-hazard-potential

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