LNG Transportation Routes Risk Assessment Based on Group Decision Making

Author:

Dong Youran1,Ma Shiqun2,Gao Jiu3

Affiliation:

1. Shanghai Maritime University, China

2. Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance, China

3. Qingyi (Shanghai) Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd., China

Abstract

The risk assessment of liquefied natural gas (LNG) transportation routes has raised researchers' concerns in recent years, which is a group multi-criteria decision-making (GMCDM) problems that involves experts' opinions from different fields. To improve the effectiveness in evaluating process, this paper proposes a risk assessment method to recognize the potential risks and selects the best LNG transportation route. Firstly, the authors construct the systematic risk evaluation indices, including four first-level indices (political, economic, transportation, and operation and management risks) and nine second-level indices. Then a novel risk assessment method of the LNG transportation route is developed, including opinion representation, consensus measurement and detection, personalized feedback, and selection process. Finally, a scenario analysis is provided to model the risk evaluation process and demonstrate the soundness and applicability of the presented model.

Publisher

IGI Global

Subject

General Computer Science

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