Abstract
Abstract
Forecasting the volume of freight has a significant importance for future decisions for the entire economy, as well as its individual participants. The transportation of goods between Sumatra and Java using the highway mode that accumulate with local transportation will greatly burden roads in Lampung province. This research was conducted to predict the pattern and amount of movement of goods in the future. The modelling is conducted for the plan period up to 20 years based on growth predictions of geographical, social, economic and traffic flow. This study conducted a process of Sequential Demand Model (Planning Model 4 stages) by using software Transplan Version 8. Transportation patterns in 2040 is predicted will be dominated by continuous trips with domination of movement from Java to South Sumatra, or otherwise. Both the transportation between internal zones and external zone to internal zone have a significant increase. The most strategic main line freight in Lampung for today and in the future is along the Bakauheni-South Sumatra and Bengkulu-South Sumatra both through toll roads, national roads, and railways.