The relative role of soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit in affecting the Indian vegetation productivity

Abstract

Abstract Atmospheric aridity (vapor pressure deficit, VPD) and soil moisture (SM) deficit limit plant photosynthesis and, thus, affect vegetation carbon uptake. The strong correlation between SM and VPD makes it challenging to delineate their relative contributions to regional vegetation productivity. Addressing this gap is vital to understand the future trajectory of plant productivity in India—the second-highest contributor to global greening. Here, we separate the controls of SM and VPD on the Indian vegetation using statistical and causal analysis. We found that vegetation productivity in India is primarily controlled by SM limitation (87.66% of grids) than VPD limitation (12.34% of grids). Vegetation has a varying association with SM and VPD across different agroecological regions in India. The negative impact of VPD on vegetation carbon uptake is not visible in high-rainfall areas of India. These findings advance our understanding of vegetation dynamics under regional dryness stress and can enhance dynamic vegetation model estimates for India under changing climate scenarios.