Forecast of Coronavirus Distribution in a Number of Countries of Europe and Asia: Dynamic and Stochastic Approach

Abstract

Abstract The simplest example of a dynamic stochastic approach to the study of the distribution of the coronovirus is considered. The distribution of coronavirus outside of china is considered as a modeling object. The choice of the developed model is due to the fact that the volterra equations are used to describe the dynamics of quantities that do not go beyond the range of positive values. The investigated process and the model parameter in the work are scalar in nature. As a result of modeling, the authors predicted the spread of coronavirus in a number of countries in Europe and Asia