Statistical analysis of agro-climatic factors of crop failure of agricultural plots

Abstract

Abstract The article presents an example of a statistical analysis of agro-climatic factors of crop failure in agricultural plots for the cultivation of rice. It is shown that crop failure is mainly due to a variety of random, independent agro-climatic factors: the sum of active temperatures, the sum of precipitation, soil fertility, etc. Agricultural technology of crop cultivation also has a significant impact on crop failure, which is characterized by the following features: the predecessor, the amount of fertilizer, weeding, the number of days from the bay to the discharge of water, the number of days from mowing to threshing. As methods of statistical data processing, the authors use complex data processing by traditional methods, including comparison of mean values of features, principal component analysis, multiple regression analysis, and discriminant analysis. It is noted that the results of complex processing of the agrotechnical characteristics of plots with different rice yields using the apparatus of one-dimensional and multivariate statistical analysis provide a basis only for identifying general trends, since the agrotechnical system has a high level of complexity. For a deeper and more complete penetration into its essence, an apparatus should be used that can identify and take into account the structural heterogeneity of data about this system.