Abstract
Abstract
How do people make everyday decisions in order to achieve the most
successful outcome? Decision making research typically evaluates choices
according to their expected utility. However, this research largely focuses
on abstract or hypothetical tasks and rarely investigates whether the
outcome is successful and satisfying for the decision maker. Instead, we use
an everyday decision making task in which participants describe a personally
meaningful decision they are currently facing. We investigate the decision
processes used to make this decision, and evaluate how successful and
satisfying the outcome of the decision is for them. We examine how well
analytic, attribute-based processes explain everyday decision making and
predict decision outcomes, and we compare these processes to associative
processes elicited through free association. We also examine the
characteristics of decisions and individuals that are associated with good
decision outcomes. Across three experiments we found that: 1) an analytic
decision analysis of everyday decisions is not superior to simpler
attribute-based processes in predicting decision outcomes; 2) contrary to
research linking associative cognition to biases, free association generates
valid cues that predict choice and decision outcomes as effectively as
attribute-based approaches; 3) contrary to research favouring either
attribute-based or associative processes, combining both attribute-based and
associates best explains everyday decisions and most accurately predicts
decision outcomes; and 4) individuals with a tendency to attempt analytic
thinking do not make more successful everyday decisions. Instead, frequency,
simplicity, and knowledge of the decision predict success. We propose that
attribute-based and associative processes, in combination, both explain
everyday decision making and predict successful decision outcomes.
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Subject
Economics and Econometrics,Applied Psychology,General Decision Sciences
Cited by
1 articles.
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