Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused severe health and economic impacts globally. Strategies to safely reopen economies, travel and trade are a high priority. Until a reliable vaccine is available, non-pharmaceutical techniques are the only available means of disease control. In this paper, we aim to evaluate the extent to which social distancing (SD) and facemask (FM) use can mitigate the transmission of COVID-19 when restrictions are lifted. We used a microsimulation activity-based model for Sydney Greater Metropolitan Area, to evaluate the power of SD and FM in controlling the pandemic under numerous scenarios. The hypothetical scenarios are designed to picture feasible futures under different assumptions. Assuming that the isolation of infected cases and the quarantining of close contacts are in place, different numerical tests are conducted and a full factorial two-way MANOVA test is used to evaluate the effectiveness of the FM and SD control strategies. The main and interactive effects of the containment strategies are evaluated by the total number of infections, percentage of infections reduction, the time it takes to get the pandemic under control, and the intensity of active cases.
Publisher
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
Reference24 articles.
1. SARS control and psychological effects of quarantine, Toronto, Canada;L Hawryluck;Emerg Infect Dis,2004
2. Estimates of the ongoing need for social distancing and control measures post-“lockdown” from trajectories of COVID-19 cases and mortality;M Lonergan;Eur Respir J,2020
3. Policies on the use of respiratory protection for hospital health workers to protect from coronavirus disease (COVID-19);AA Chughtai;Int J Nurs Stud.,2020
4. Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis;DK Chu;Lancet (London, England),2020
5. Mathematical assessment of the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on curtailing the 2019 novel Coronavirus;CN Ngonghala;Math Biosci.,2020
Cited by
9 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献