Mesoscale effects of trader learning behaviors in financial markets: A multi-agent reinforcement learning study

Author:

Lussange JohannORCID,Vrizzi StefanoORCID,Palminteri Stefano,Gutkin Boris

Abstract

Recent advances in the field of machine learning have yielded novel research perspectives in behavioural economics and financial markets microstructure studies. In this paper we study the impact of individual trader leaning characteristics on markets using a stock market simulator designed with a multi-agent architecture. Each agent, representing an autonomous investor, trades stocks through reinforcement learning, using a centralized double-auction limit order book. This approach allows us to study the impact of individual trader traits on the whole stock market at the mesoscale in a bottom-up approach. We chose to test three trader trait aspects: agent learning rate increases, herding behaviour and random trading. As hypothesized, we find that larger learning rates significantly increase the number of crashes. We also find that herding behaviour undermines market stability, while random trading tends to preserve it.

Funder

Agence Nationale de la Recherche

H2020 European Institute of Innovation and Technology

Publisher

Public Library of Science (PLoS)

Reference103 articles.

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2. J.A. Lipski and Kutner R. Agent-based stock market model with endogenous agents’ impact. arXiv:1310.0762, 2013.

3. Barde S. Direct calibration and comparison of agent-based herding models of financial markets. University of Kent, School of Economics Discussion Papers, 04, 2015.

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