Spatio-Temporal Variability of Algal Bloom in the Caspian Sea

Abstract

Seasonal, interannual variability and spatial distribution of algal bloom in the North, Middle and South Caspian Sea has been investigated on the basis of Aqua MODIS chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration data. Multi-year data demonstrate that over the two past decades Chl-a concentration has increased only in the North Caspian where the main rivers Volga and Ural enter the sea. In the Middle and South Caspian, it has shown weak negative linear trends. Special attention is paid to anomalous phytoplankton bloom, first of all cyanobacteria, in the South Caspian. Over 24 years of satellite observation, 1999-2022, abnormally intense phytoplankton bloom has been detected 8 times. Till present, it remains an open question what causes such outbreaks of intense algal bloom in the South Caspian. Generally, the literature and our studies suggest a variety of possible drivers of algal bloom, such as high sea surface and air temperature, low wind speed, high Chl-a concentration in periods preceding the development of phytoplankton bloom, atmospheric precipitation, and even dust storms. However, for the South Caspian we have found no clear correlation with any of these factors. Satellite monitoring of intense blooms, especially cyanobacteria, is of vital importance because cyanobacteria can produce potent toxins that can cause negative consequences for wildlife, ecosystems and even affect human health.